Lokomotive Leipzig vs Fortuna Chemnitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotive Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
LOK
1 - 2
CAR
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VFL
0 - 1
LOK
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
LOK
2 - 1
LUC
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
WAG
0 - 5
LOK
48%
24%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
ERZ
5 - 0
LOK
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Fortuna Chemnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
FCH
1 - 1
VFL
46%
24%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
LUC
4 - 0
FCH
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
FCH
4 - 2
WAG
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FCH
2 - 2
ERZ
31%
24%
45%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
GRU
3 - 3
FCH
15%
20%
64%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |