Lokomotiv Sofia vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SPA
0 - 2
LSO
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
LSO
2 - 0
OFK
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
LSO
2 - 0
BGA
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LUD
2 - 1
LSO
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
LSO
2 - 3
CSK
26%
28%
46%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SVA
1 - 1
BGA
24%
25%
52%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
LUD
1 - 0
SVA
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SVA
0 - 1
CSK
2%
16%
82%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
HEB
3 - 0
SVA
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
SVA
0 - 0
SME
5%
10%
86%
|
41 | 69 | 28 | +1 |