A PFG Round 30

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna analysis

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Spartak Varna
78 ELO 65
17.9% Tilt 14.8%
1945º General ELO ranking 1920º
12º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
72.9%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
17.4%
Draw
9.8%
Spartak Varna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.8%
Win probability
Spartak Varna
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
+12%
-7%
Spartak Varna

ELO progression

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 May. 2007
LOV
Litex Lovech
5 - 1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
49%
24%
27%
78 79 1 0
16 May. 2007
LSO
Levski Sofia
6 - 1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
55%
22%
23%
78 79 1 0
12 May. 2007
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2 - 0
Cherno More Varna
CVA
54%
24%
22%
78 78 0 0
09 May. 2007
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0 - 3
Levski Sofia
LSO
56%
22%
22%
78 80 2 0
04 May. 2007
BEL
Belasitsa
3 - 0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
36%
26%
38%
79 74 5 -1

Matches

Spartak Varna
Spartak Varna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 May. 2007
SVA
Spartak Varna
2 - 0
Cherno More Varna
CVA
29%
29%
42%
64 79 15 0
16 May. 2007
BEL
Belasitsa
2 - 0
Spartak Varna
SVA
62%
23%
15%
64 74 10 0
12 May. 2007
SVA
Spartak Varna
1 - 0
Rodopa Smolyan
ROD
50%
25%
25%
63 63 0 +1
05 May. 2007
MAR
Marek
3 - 1
Spartak Varna
SVA
62%
22%
16%
64 71 7 -1
28 Apr. 2007
SVA
Spartak Varna
0 - 0
Vihren
VIH
41%
26%
33%
64 69 5 0