Clausura Ascenso MX Quarter-finals
Lobos BUAP vs Correcaminos UAT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
UAT
1 - 2
LOB
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
LOB
2 - 0
ATL
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MER
2 - 2
LOB
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LOB
2 - 0
IRA
61%
23%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 1
LOB
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Correcaminos UAT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
UAT
1 - 2
LOB
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
UAT
1 - 1
TOR
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 1
UAT
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
UAT
2 - 1
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
MON
4 - 1
UAT
65%
21%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |