Llaneros vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 0
LLA
54%
26%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
1 - 0
RSC
43%
28%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
2 - 2
CHI
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
ORS
0 - 2
LLA
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 2
LLA
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
LEO
43%
26%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
FOR
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
BJC
56%
23%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 1
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 2
HUI
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |