Copa Colombia . 1/16
Global 4-3
Llaneros vs Boyacá Chicó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
ORS
0 - 2
LLA
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 2
LLA
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
LLA
0 - 0
AFC
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
LLA
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
LLA
0 - 0
CAR
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 0
CAR
58%
25%
18%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 2
LLA
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
BJC
0 - 1
CHI
21%
28%
51%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 0
JAG
36%
27%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
AGU
0 - 3
CHI
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +2 |