Venezuelan Cup . 1/16
Global 3-3
Llaneros de Guanare vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
ATG
1 - 2
LLA
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
LLA
1 - 0
ZAM
76%
16%
9%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
ATL
4 - 0
LLA
50%
23%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
LLA
5 - 3
TDS
81%
13%
5%
|
48 | 15 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
TDS
0 - 0
LLA
7%
14%
79%
|
48 | 11 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
POR
0 - 0
CAR
22%
23%
55%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 2
POR
55%
24%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
POR
0 - 1
TAC
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
ATL
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 1
POR
67%
22%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |