Livorno vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 0
LIV
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
LIV
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LIV
0 - 1
AVE
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 1
LIV
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
LIV
5 - 2
BAR
57%
23%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
TER
0 - 1
ACD
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
AVE
1 - 1
TER
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
TER
0 - 2
LAT
48%
28%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BOL
0 - 0
TER
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TER
2 - 1
BRE
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |