Livorno vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
CAR
4 - 0
LIV
72%
19%
10%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
LIV
0 - 0
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 0
LIV
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
REG
2 - 2
LIV
34%
28%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
LIV
1 - 2
REG
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
GAV
0 - 1
ACP
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
GAV
0 - 0
PIA
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
SIE
1 - 1
GAV
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
GAV
2 - 0
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
SIE
1 - 1
GAV
57%
24%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |