Challenge Cup Quarter-finals

Livingston vs Raith Rovers analysis

Livingston Raith Rovers
64 ELO 55
-4.9% Tilt -1.8%
523º General ELO ranking 1083º
Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
60.9%
Livingston
21.9%
Draw
17.2%
Raith Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
Livingston
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.2%
Win probability
Raith Rovers
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Livingston
+6%
+6%
Raith Rovers

ELO progression

Livingston
Raith Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Livingston
Livingston
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 1999
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 2
Livingston
LIV
60%
22%
18%
62 65 3 0
04 Sep. 1999
LIV
Livingston
0 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
45%
27%
28%
63 65 2 -1
28 Aug. 1999
GRE
Greenock Morton
2 - 2
Livingston
LIV
43%
26%
31%
63 57 6 0
25 Aug. 1999
LIV
Livingston
2 - 1
Berwick Rangers
BER
62%
22%
17%
62 54 8 +1
21 Aug. 1999
LIV
Livingston
3 - 0
Airdrieonians
AIR
53%
26%
21%
61 60 1 +1

Matches

Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 1999
GRE
Greenock Morton
2 - 0
Raith Rovers
RAI
52%
24%
24%
57 57 0 0
04 Sep. 1999
RAI
Raith Rovers
5 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
44%
26%
30%
55 62 7 +2
28 Aug. 1999
AIR
Airdrieonians
1 - 4
Raith Rovers
RAI
58%
23%
19%
54 58 4 +1
24 Aug. 1999
STR
Stranraer
1 - 2
Raith Rovers
RAI
51%
25%
24%
53 48 5 +1
21 Aug. 1999
CLY
Clydebank
1 - 1
Raith Rovers
RAI
54%
25%
22%
52 56 4 +1