Livingston vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
44.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LIV
2 - 1
CWB
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
HIB
2 - 1
LIV
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
ALB
0 - 0
LIV
17%
21%
62%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
QOS
3 - 4
LIV
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
LIV
2 - 0
RAI
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
HOM
2 - 1
HIB
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GLA
1 - 2
HOM
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
HOM
3 - 1
BLA
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
HOM
1 - 2
MAC
6%
15%
79%
|
66 | 94 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
EAS
0 - 3
HOM
17%
23%
60%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | 0 |