Livingston vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
HIB
7 - 0
LIV
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
LIV
0 - 1
FAL
40%
26%
35%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
DUN
1 - 0
LIV
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
GLA
4 - 1
LIV
77%
15%
7%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
ICT
3 - 0
LIV
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
DUN
2 - 2
ICT
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
DUN
1 - 1
MHE
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
DUN
1 - 0
LIV
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
HIB
3 - 1
DUN
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
DUN
1 - 4
HOM
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |