SPL Title Play-off Round 4

Livingston vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis

Livingston Dunfermline Athletic FC
77 ELO 71
-7.4% Tilt 6.9%
526º General ELO ranking 1795º
Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
52.6%
Livingston
24.9%
Draw
22.5%
Dunfermline Athletic FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
Livingston
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.4%
Win probability
Dunfermline Athletic FC
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Livingston
Dunfermline Athletic FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Livingston
Livingston
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2002
ABE
Aberdeen
3 - 0
Livingston
LIV
48%
24%
28%
77 77 0 0
13 Apr. 2002
LIV
Livingston
2 - 1
Rangers
GLA
28%
25%
47%
76 83 7 +1
06 Apr. 2002
CEL
Celtic
5 - 1
Livingston
LIV
63%
20%
16%
77 83 6 -1
23 Mar. 2002
LIV
Livingston
0 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
43%
25%
31%
77 77 0 0
16 Mar. 2002
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
Livingston
LIV
42%
26%
32%
77 76 1 0

Matches

Dunfermline Athletic FC
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2002
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
2 - 0
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
60%
22%
19%
72 77 5 0
13 Apr. 2002
CEL
Celtic
5 - 0
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
70%
18%
11%
73 83 10 -1
06 Apr. 2002
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
0 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
41%
25%
34%
73 77 4 0
23 Mar. 2002
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
2 - 0
Dundee
DUN
50%
25%
26%
72 72 0 +1
16 Mar. 2002
ABE
Aberdeen
1 - 0
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
57%
23%
20%
73 77 4 -1