Livingston vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 0
LIV
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
LIV
1 - 0
PET
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
LIV
4 - 1
STE
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
AYR
3 - 1
LIV
33%
26%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
LIV
1 - 1
EAS
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
DUM
4 - 1
EAS
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
STE
4 - 0
DUM
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
PET
1 - 0
DUM
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
DUM
1 - 3
AIR
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
DUM
1 - 3
BRE
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |