Liverpool vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MID
2 - 0
LIV
22%
26%
52%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
RMA
0 - 1
LIV
56%
23%
22%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
LIV
1 - 1
MAC
71%
19%
10%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
OPA
2 - 3
LIV
22%
27%
52%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
EVE
1 - 0
LIV
31%
28%
41%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ARS
0 - 0
SUN
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
SUN
2 - 0
STO
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
BBU
2 - 1
SUN
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
NEW
1 - 1
SUN
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
SUN
1 - 0
FUL
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |