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UCL. Quarters

Aggregate 1-3. Ida 3-1
Liverpool Real Madrid
94 ELO 94
-43% Tilt -9%
General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
33.1%
Liverpool
33.2%
Draw
33.7%
Real Madrid

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
Liverpool
0.88
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
+2
8.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
21.7%
33.2%
Draw
0-0
17%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
33.2%
33.7%
Win probability
Real Madrid
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%