Liverpool vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
OPA
2 - 3
LIV
22%
27%
52%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
EVE
1 - 0
LIV
31%
28%
41%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
LIV
2 - 0
CHL
43%
27%
31%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
WIG
1 - 1
LIV
18%
26%
56%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
LIV
1 - 1
EVE
69%
20%
11%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
FCK
2 - 2
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
OPA
2 - 0
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 0
MID
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
STO
1 - 0
MAC
27%
27%
46%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 1
NEW
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |