Liverpool vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LIV
2 - 0
BUR
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 3
LIV
9%
16%
76%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
LIV
3 - 1
OSA
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
LIV
1 - 1
ATH
68%
19%
13%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
LIV
2 - 0
BOL
84%
12%
5%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ARS
0 - 2
CHL
30%
24%
45%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CHL
3 - 0
CRY
72%
18%
10%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
CHL
1 - 1
VIL
46%
25%
30%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
CHL
2 - 2
TOT
48%
24%
28%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ARS
1 - 2
CHL
29%
25%
46%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |