Liverpool vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.2%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
+5
9.7%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.4%
2.4%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1989 |
LIV
5 - 0
LUT
66%
21%
13%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
MID
0 - 4
LIV
16%
26%
59%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1989 |
LIV
2 - 0
CHA
76%
17%
7%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1989 |
HUL
2 - 3
LIV
22%
27%
51%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1989 |
NEW
2 - 2
LIV
21%
27%
52%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1989 |
BBU
0 - 2
BRE
69%
17%
14%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1989 |
BRE
3 - 1
MAC
39%
24%
37%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 1989 |
BRE
1 - 0
WAL
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1989 |
WAL
1 - 1
BRE
40%
24%
35%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1988 |
BRE
3 - 2
POS
60%
22%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |