Liverpool Montevideo vs Deportivo Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
RIV
1 - 2
LFC
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
DAN
5 - 2
LFC
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
LFC
0 - 4
NAC
38%
24%
39%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
TAC
2 - 1
LFC
33%
29%
38%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
CER
0 - 0
LFC
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
CER
5 - 1
COL
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
COL
0 - 0
TAC
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
COL
0 - 2
CSC
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
BVS
1 - 0
COL
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
COL
0 - 2
DAN
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |