Linfield vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
GLE
0 - 3
LIN
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 0
CLI
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CRU
2 - 1
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
BAL
3 - 1
LIN
36%
24%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
LIN
14%
22%
63%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
WAR
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 1
CAR
75%
17%
9%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
CRU
14%
21%
65%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
POR
2 - 2
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
COL
13%
22%
65%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |