Linfield vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
LIN
2 - 0
CLI
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CRU
0 - 2
LIN
46%
23%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GLE
0 - 1
LIN
21%
26%
54%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 1
POR
78%
16%
7%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 2
LIN
16%
22%
61%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
ARD
2 - 0
BAL
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
DUN
3 - 3
ARD
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
POR
0 - 3
ARD
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ARD
0 - 4
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
COL
3 - 1
ARD
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |