RB Linense vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
64.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Linense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 3
SEV
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 0
BET
63%
22%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAD
1 - 0
BAL
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BAL
3 - 3
LIN
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SRQ
2 - 2
BAL
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
RAY
0 - 3
ATH
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
AUG
2 - 3
ATH
30%
28%
42%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 0
ATH
26%
28%
47%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ATH
2 - 1
ESP
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
ATH
5 - 1
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |