Lincoln City vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
LIN
4 - 0
STA
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 1
POS
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 2
LIN
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
LIN
5 - 1
BUR
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
NOR
0 - 4
LIN
25%
27%
48%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 2
MKD
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 0
SUN
24%
28%
48%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
NOR
3 - 1
GIL
32%
28%
41%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
NOR
0 - 4
LIN
25%
27%
48%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
OXF
4 - 0
NOR
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |