Lincoln City vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
48.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
GRI
1 - 1
LIN
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
HAL
5 - 1
LIN
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
LIN
0 - 2
GRI
29%
28%
43%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
CHE
3 - 3
LIN
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 3
LIN
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
LUT
2 - 1
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
LUT
6 - 0
KID
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
LUT
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LUT
4 - 2
GAT
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
LUT
2 - 0
WRE
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +2 |