Limerick vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
42.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limerick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
BRW
0 - 2
LIM
35%
24%
41%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
SHR
5 - 0
LIM
65%
20%
14%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
LIM
0 - 4
DUN
14%
19%
67%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
LIM
0 - 1
DUN
14%
22%
64%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
LIM
2 - 1
CAB
65%
20%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
DUN
3 - 2
DER
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
DER
0 - 1
SHR
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
DER
1 - 3
BOH
45%
24%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
DER
3 - 1
COB
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
DER
0 - 2
BOH
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |