Lille vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 1
LIL
62%
20%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LOR
1 - 4
LIL
17%
24%
59%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
LIL
1 - 2
AJA
24%
23%
54%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
LIL
0 - 0
BRE
63%
22%
16%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
DIJ
0 - 1
LIL
17%
24%
59%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
STR
0 - 0
ANG
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MET
1 - 2
STR
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
STR
0 - 2
MPL
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
LYO
3 - 0
STR
69%
19%
13%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
STR
2 - 2
BRE
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |