Lille vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
DIJ
0 - 1
LIL
17%
24%
59%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
NAN
0 - 2
LIL
17%
24%
60%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
GIR
0 - 3
LIL
24%
25%
51%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
LIL
1 - 0
DIJ
72%
19%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
REN
0 - 1
LIL
30%
26%
45%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
BRE
2 - 1
ROD
72%
18%
11%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
BRE
2 - 1
GIR
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
STR
2 - 2
BRE
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
BRE
2 - 4
MET
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
REI
1 - 0
BRE
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |