Lille vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
PSG
3 - 0
LIL
72%
17%
12%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
LIL
35%
25%
40%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GAZ
1 - 3
LIL
10%
21%
69%
|
88 | 51 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
LIL
2 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LIL
1 - 1
STR
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
NÎM
1 - 1
MPL
25%
27%
48%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
NIC
2 - 1
NÎM
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
NÎM
1 - 1
NAN
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
NÎM
1 - 0
LOR
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
NÎM
2 - 0
GIR
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |