Lille vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
LIL
8 - 0
IST
67%
22%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ASS
0 - 0
LIL
39%
29%
32%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2005 |
AUX
0 - 0
LIL
58%
24%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
LIL
1 - 1
TFC
59%
24%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2005 |
LIL
0 - 1
AUX
43%
29%
28%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
LEN
0 - 0
NIC
56%
24%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
LYO
1 - 0
LEN
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
LEN
2 - 0
GIR
44%
27%
30%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 1
LEN
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
LEN
3 - 1
AUX
38%
29%
34%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |