Lille vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 0
LIL
34%
28%
39%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
LIL
1 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 1
LIL
25%
26%
49%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
LIL
1 - 0
TFC
68%
20%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GUI
0 - 0
LIL
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 3
LYO
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 1
BAS
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
ETG
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SOC
1 - 1
BAS
43%
25%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
REN
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |