Ligny vs Nismes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
70.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
BEA
2 - 1
LIG
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 1
LIG
46%
21%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 2
GED
55%
20%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ROC
4 - 2
LIG
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LIG
4 - 2
RHI
55%
20%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nismes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
NIS
2 - 2
MOL
76%
14%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
NIS
4 - 1
LOY
63%
20%
18%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SPY
3 - 2
NIS
24%
20%
55%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
NIS
4 - 3
PRO
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
BIE
4 - 3
NIS
21%
19%
61%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |