Liga de Quito vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
31.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
LIG
4 - 0
RIV
76%
17%
8%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
LIG
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
UCE
0 - 0
LIG
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
LIG
3 - 2
OLM
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 0
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
JUV
72%
17%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
JUN
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
DEF
0 - 1
PEÑ
25%
25%
51%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |