Liga de Quito vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CUE
1 - 0
LIG
38%
29%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 1
LIG
63%
21%
15%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 3
GRE
36%
28%
35%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LIG
0 - 1
CUE
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
LIG
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 1
MUS
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MUS
0 - 2
NAC
45%
28%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIG
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
AUC
0 - 0
NAC
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 2
UCE
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +2 |