Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/16
Global 3-2
Liga de Quito vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
21%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
BSC
3 - 1
LIG
42%
28%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
LIG
2 - 0
MAN
73%
18%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
LIG
4 - 0
ESP
67%
21%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
NAC
3 - 2
LIG
43%
29%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2003 |
LIG
3 - 1
EME
61%
24%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
BSC
3 - 1
LIG
42%
28%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 0
BSC
46%
28%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
BSC
1 - 1
EME
55%
26%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
CUE
0 - 1
BSC
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2003 |
BSC
1 - 1
AUC
50%
27%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |