Liestal vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FCS
4 - 3
LIE
24%
19%
57%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
LIE
1 - 0
FCK
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LER
2 - 3
LIE
26%
21%
53%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FCC
3 - 2
LIE
19%
18%
63%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MUT
1 - 4
LIE
48%
21%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MOU
0 - 2
FCK
47%
23%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 1
MOU
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MOU
0 - 3
CON
19%
20%
61%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
DOR
4 - 0
MOU
81%
13%
7%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MOU
0 - 4
OLD
20%
20%
60%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -2 |