Liestal vs Lerchenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
15.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
ALL
3 - 2
LIE
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
LIE
4 - 2
TAV
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
LIE
0 - 0
MUT
46%
21%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
COR
1 - 4
LIE
29%
20%
51%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
LIE
4 - 2
SUB
93%
6%
2%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
LER
2 - 2
MUT
23%
20%
57%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
COR
2 - 2
LER
42%
21%
37%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
LER
0 - 1
SUB
91%
7%
2%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
FCK
0 - 0
LER
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
LER
2 - 0
BIN
31%
22%
47%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +3 |