Liefering vs Horn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liefering
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
SVL
2 - 0
FCL
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
SKA
4 - 4
FCL
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
FCL
2 - 3
AMS
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
FCL
4 - 0
GRO
66%
18%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
FCL
2 - 5
BHA
23%
23%
54%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
GRA
0 - 0
SVH
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
SVH
2 - 2
FAC
41%
26%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
AUS
1 - 5
SVH
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
FCM
1 - 5
SVH
16%
20%
64%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
SVH
2 - 0
KRE
78%
15%
8%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |