Liefering vs Horn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liefering
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
MAT
2 - 0
FCL
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
FCL
0 - 2
KAP
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
SKN
1 - 4
FCL
40%
27%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
SCA
3 - 3
FCL
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
FCL
3 - 0
HAR
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
MAN
4 - 6
SVH
13%
19%
68%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
SVH
0 - 0
ALT
20%
23%
58%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
SVH
3 - 1
VIE
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
KAP
3 - 1
SVH
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
SVH
3 - 1
SKN
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |