Libertas vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
5 - 0
JUV
48%
23%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DOM
1 - 0
LIB
21%
23%
57%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 2
SMA
82%
13%
6%
|
55 | 21 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 1
LIB
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FAE
1 - 2
LIB
21%
23%
56%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 4
FOL
20%
22%
58%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
FOL
2 - 1
SGI
68%
20%
13%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TFI
3 - 1
FOL
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
FOL
1 - 1
DOM
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 0
FOL
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |