Libertad vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
PAL
3 - 0
LIB
65%
20%
16%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 1
PAL
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
LQE
2 - 2
LIB
18%
23%
59%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
JWI
0 - 2
LIB
32%
25%
44%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
OLI
4 - 2
GEN
85%
11%
4%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
OLI
27%
23%
50%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
35%
24%
42%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
OLI
3 - 1
RPA
86%
10%
3%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
LQE
2 - 2
OLI
10%
18%
72%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |