Libertad vs General Díaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 0
LIB
63%
21%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
LIB
0 - 0
SAN
60%
23%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
LIB
2 - 4
BOC
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
AME
0 - 2
LIB
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
43%
27%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
GEN
3 - 1
GUA
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
IND
2 - 2
GEN
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -5 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
GEN
1%
4%
95%
|
71 | 8 | 63 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 4
CCP
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
DEP
3 - 1
GEN
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |