Libertad vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 2
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
RPA
1 - 3
LIB
21%
25%
54%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
NOB
1 - 3
LIB
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 1
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 0
PAL
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
SLO
1 - 1
12O
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
12O
1 - 0
LQE
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
HUA
0 - 0
12O
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
AME
0 - 3
12O
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
12O
1 - 0
CEN
39%
25%
36%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |