Libertad vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
LIB
0 - 2
CCP
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
OLI
1 - 2
LIB
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
LIB
5 - 1
FER
78%
16%
7%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
PAU
0 - 0
LIB
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 4
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
NAC
4 - 1
CUE
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2006 |
ESP
1 - 1
NAC
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
RIV
4 - 3
NAC
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
QUI
1 - 1
NAC
39%
25%
37%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 0
BSC
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |