Liberia vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
CGO
3 - 0
LBR
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
LBR
1 - 0
MLI
19%
24%
57%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
LBR
3 - 0
GAM
26%
25%
49%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
GAM
2 - 0
LBR
65%
20%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
NIG
1 - 0
LBR
50%
24%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
TOG
3 - 1
SEN
21%
27%
52%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2004 |
GHA
0 - 0
TOG
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ZAM
1 - 0
TOG
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
TOG
1 - 1
BEN
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2004 |
BEN
0 - 1
TOG
39%
24%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |