Liberia vs Gambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
LBR
1 - 0
CPV
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CPV
4 - 2
LBR
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
MLI
2 - 1
LBR
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
LBR
1 - 1
ZIM
24%
23%
53%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
LBR
0 - 0
ALG
21%
28%
51%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
GAB
0 - 1
GAM
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
EQG
1 - 0
GAM
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
GNB
3 - 1
GAM
28%
25%
47%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
BFA
3 - 1
GAM
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
GAM
3 - 1
NAM
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |