Arab Cup Fase de Grupos. Jor. 2

Lebanon vs Algeria analysis

Lebanon Algeria
63 ELO 84
-6.7% Tilt -15.2%
2275º General ELO ranking 144º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
14.5%
Lebanon
21.3%
Draw
64.2%
Algeria

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
Lebanon
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
64.2%
Win probability
Algeria
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lebanon
-23%
+5%
Algeria

ELO progression

Lebanon
Algeria
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lebanon
Lebanon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2021
EGY
Egypt
1 - 0
Lebanon
LBN
78%
16%
7%
64 85 21 0
16 Nov. 2021
LBN
Lebanon
0 - 1
UAE
ARE
24%
25%
51%
64 78 14 0
11 Nov. 2021
LBN
Lebanon
1 - 2
Iran
IRN
10%
22%
68%
64 89 25 0
12 Oct. 2021
SYR
Syria
2 - 3
Lebanon
LBN
66%
20%
14%
64 72 8 0
07 Oct. 2021
IRQ
Iraq
0 - 0
Lebanon
LBN
69%
20%
11%
63 80 17 +1

Matches

Algeria
Algeria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2021
DZA
Algeria
4 - 0
Sudan
SDN
85%
11%
4%
83 61 22 0
16 Nov. 2021
DZA
Algeria
2 - 2
Burkina Faso
BFA
76%
15%
8%
83 74 9 0
12 Nov. 2021
DJI
Yibuti
0 - 4
Algeria
DZA
7%
16%
77%
83 31 52 0
12 Oct. 2021
NER
Niger
0 - 4
Algeria
DZA
14%
22%
64%
83 56 27 0
08 Oct. 2021
DZA
Algeria
6 - 1
Niger
NER
87%
10%
3%
83 56 27 0
X