Lebanon vs Bahrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
VIE
0 - 2
LBN
34%
24%
42%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2004 |
LBN
0 - 1
SYR
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
KOR
2 - 0
LBN
76%
17%
8%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
LBN
2 - 1
BHR
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2003 |
LBN
0 - 0
KWT
19%
23%
58%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
TJK
0 - 0
BHR
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2004 |
BHR
0 - 2
JOR
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
BHR
0 - 0
JOR
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
BHR
2 - 1
SYR
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
QAT
2 - 0
BHR
54%
26%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |