Q. Europa League Primera Ronda. Final
Global 3-1
Levski Sofia vs Sutjeska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
LSO
1 - 1
VER
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
LSO
2 - 2
CVA
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
CSK
3 - 0
LSO
57%
23%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
DUN
0 - 1
LSO
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2017 |
LSO
1 - 3
LUD
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Sutjeska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2017 |
SUT
1 - 0
GRB
52%
24%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
SUT
2 - 0
RUD
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
IKD
1 - 0
SUT
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
SUT
1 - 1
BOK
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
LOV
0 - 2
SUT
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |