Lerchenfeld vs Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
67.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
TAV
0 - 1
LER
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LER
2 - 1
FCS
33%
22%
46%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LIE
5 - 2
LER
55%
20%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MUT
4 - 0
LER
70%
16%
14%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LER
1 - 1
FCA
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
OLD
3 - 1
MUT
66%
18%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
FCA
0 - 2
OLD
49%
21%
30%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
OLD
3 - 2
BUB
76%
14%
10%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BIN
1 - 1
OLD
32%
22%
46%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
OLD
2 - 0
MOU
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |